ArchPundit on November 3rd, 2008

Maria Chapelle Nadal is quite impressive this cycle:

She received the support of many of the women in her district because she is a fairly articulate backer of reproductive rights and was a Super Delegate to the Democratic National Convention.  She’s endorsing the rabidly pro-life Mike Gibbons.

The criticisms, though, are a little weird. She dings him for cutting Medicaid benefits and approving a big tax credit for developers — things Koster did as a Republican prior to his party switch last year and bills that Gibbons, the senate leader at the time, also supported.

Finally, despite having $13,000 in the bank right now, has given only $3,900 to other House candidates such as $100 for Kirkton and Lavendar.

As she is known to say to others, and is abundantly clear, it’s all about Maria.

ArchPundit on November 3rd, 2008

So Peter showed up at the Call To Oneness downtown St Louis today in what I think is a positive effort to attract African-American voters.  It’s great when Republicans do that, but with most recent polling putting Barack Obama’s African-American support over 95% this is an interesting contrast:

Missourians Reject Obama’s Brand
of Radical Liberalism
Posted by Peter Kinder
I’m sure the delegates to the state party convention will agree with me that it became exceedingly clear last week that Barack Obama is not only wrong for Missouri but also for the majority of Americans. The cold hard facts support my assertion during Obama’s visit to my hometown of Cape Girardeau that he will be “the hardest-left candidate ever nominated for President of the United States by either of our major parties.”
Strictly speaking, Barack Obama’s calls for oppressive tax increases would hurt hard-working Missourian families already struggling with out-of-control health care costs and higher gas prices. Missourians understand that in order to keep our economy growing as it has over the last several years under Republican leadership, we need to keep Barack Obama out of our pocketbooks. For most Missourians, Barack Obama’s belief that the solution to every problem is bigger government and more government is abhorrent. Missourians are fiercely anti-tax and fiercely independent.
Fear of Tax Increases
As I visit communities across the Show Me State, people fear a Democratic agenda that will bring with it job-killing tax increases and other economic policies that will cripple the economic vitality of our state. Barack Obama wants to increase income taxes, boost Social Security taxes while also seeking higher investment taxes and higher corporate taxes that would cripple the economic engine that powers our state and our country. These tax increases would also pay for Obama’s called-for massive new domestic spending, including a $1.3 trillion plan to socialize medicine.
The policies of Barack Obama seem at times to pale in comparison to the offensive comments he aims from liberal bastions at those in the Heartland of our great country. It was not too long ago that Barack Obama, surrounded by radical supporters in San Francisco, claimed that Missourians and other hard-working Americans were clinging to our faith and our 2nd Amendment rights because we are bitter. Is this the kind of class bigotry that Barack Obama will represent? Are we going to see more cases in which wealthy liberals mock the millions of Americans who actually believe in standing by their God and country? There is no other rational answer to these questions than an emphatic “Yes.”
Obama Endorsed by NARAL
During my time in the Missouri Senate, there was strong bipartisan support in our state for banning the barbaric practice of partial-birth abortion, and yet Missourians are being asked to support Barack Obama, who was recently endorsed by the abortionists at NARAL Pro-Choice America. The majority of Missourians have made it clear that they support the rights of the unborn and yet Obama clearly does not.
The Missouri tide that is rising against Barack Obama is even being acknowledged by the liberals at the New York Times. This bastion of liberal thought and journalism recently refused to acknowledge Missouri’s status as a bellwether state, despite our knack over the last 100-plus years of picking Presidents. The Times has clearly concluded that a liberal such as Barack Obama cannot win Missouri, and from where many of us in Missouri are standing, they are probably right, for Missouri but also for the majority of Americans.
Let’s be real about Peter Kinder–he’s a movement conservative who talks nice when he thinks his moderate and liberal enablers aren’t paying attention.
ArchPundit on October 31st, 2008

One of the things about polls is sometimes you just end up with a bad sample.  It doesn’t make the pollster bad, it just makes that particular result bad.  For example the Politico poll showing a dead heat in Missouri with this finding:

Towery acknowledged that the poll showed a closer-than-expected race among black Missourians – Obama took a lower-than-usual 65 percent of the group – and said that if African-Americans ultimately vote for Obama by the huge margin analysts expect, “it will make the race closer.”

Sometimes you don’t like polls because they don’t give you the results you want. Sometimes you don’t like polls because they don’t conform to reality.  This is one of the latter examples.

ArchPundit on October 31st, 2008

Teh Awesome

“Just this past week, we saw what Barack Obama said about judges,” Bond said. “He said, ‘I’m tired of these judges who want to follow what the Founding Fathers said and the Constitution. I want judges who have a heart, have an empathy for the teenage mom, the minority, the gay, the disabled. We want them to show empathy. We want them to show compassion.’”

Everyone’s concentrating on ‘the gay’ which is funny, but really read the rest–how is a having empathy for a teenage mom or a minority or a disabled person somehow bad.

ArchPundit on October 29th, 2008

Godwin’s Law Jackass.

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KY3 has the original.

ArchPundit on October 23rd, 2008

Bringing total DCCC dollars to nearly $740,000

ArchPundit on October 21st, 2008

Who?

The St. Louis CofCC had another hugely successful annual picnic. This year, the main speaker was a Missouri State Representative!

CofCC CEO Gordon L. Baum has been holding the annual picnic for decades. Before the CofCC existed it was held by the St. Louis Citizens Council.

The Eastern Pennsylvania CofCC chapter also held it’s annual cookout last weekend. This was the fifth annual event.

The Eastern Tennessee CofCC will be holding a cookout next weekend.

Errr…may I suggest the press do some work here and find out who it was?

ArchPundit on October 16th, 2008

From Lean Republican to Tossup.  Feel the wave.

ArchPundit on October 14th, 2008

Trying to prove voter fraud in 2000.

He’s still at it:

Gov. Matt Blunt appeared remotely this afternoon on Fox News Channel to repeat allegations against community organizing group ACORN. Blunt is among the officials in some states that claim ACORN has purposely been turning in bogus voter registrations.

Big difference–as long time readers may recall, I have been a huge critic of ACORN’s efforts in the past because they didn’t audit the people doing the registrations.  They started doing that-and shockingly, the problems have largely disappeared.  Don’t take must me word for it:

But this year, the group has caused no such problems, according to Republican city elections director Scott Leiendecker. ACORN finished its efforts in St. Louis about three months ago, he said. So far, he said, “Everything’s been on the up and up.”

Now, I haven’t talked to Scott about this in some time, but Scott was very concerned about previous situations.  For him to be relatively satisfied is very telling.

Remember when the young, fresh Secretary of State demonstrated he was a complete boob?

CITY MISLABELED DOZENS AS VOTING FROM VACANT LOTS;
PROPERTY RECORDS APPEAR TO BE IN ERROR, SURVEY FINDS;
JUST 14 BALLOTS ARE FOUND SUSPECT

*BYLINE:* Jo Mannies And Jennifer LaFleur Of The Post-Dispatch 2001, St.
Louis Post-Dispatch Tim O’Neil And Eric Stern Of The Post-Dispatch
Helped Survey Properties For This Story.

*SECTION:* NEWS; Pg. A1

*LENGTH:* 1507 words

Dozens of St. Louis voters are being wrongly accused of casting ballots from
fraudulent addresses in last year’s Nov. 7 election.

They are among thousands of registered voters who, based on city
property records, appear to live on vacant lots.

But a Post-Dispatch survey of every one of those suspect properties
turned up something else: hundreds of bona fide houses and apartment
buildings that seem to be wrongly classified by the city assessor’s
office as vacant lots.

Because of those inaccurate records, many of those properties’ occupants
have been wrongly tagged as registering to vote from fake addresses.

Read the rest of this entry »

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ArchPundit on October 13th, 2008

Hulsoff brought in a President who’s approval rating is somehwhere below what I thought the absolute floor was for such things.

Kinder is bringing in….Dick Cheney! A man I don’t think anyone is even polling for anymore.  Better yet, genius Jeff Roe through Axiom is running robocalls against Sam Page for wanting seat belts on school buses….

That’s what uber genius Jeff Roe has? Perhaps he’s not that much of a genius after all. Then again, it’s better than talking about pedophile chiefs of staff and such.

Worst investment evah!

David Humphreys, Ethelmae Humphreys, and Sarah Humphreys Atkins make their living by donating lots of money to Republicans. In their spare time, they run TAMKO Roofing. Sarah is from Virginia now, the others are from Joplin.

These donations total up to around $986K so far:
- $400K from the Humphreys to Kenny Hulshof
- $350K from the Humphreys to Peter Kinder
- $151,350 from the Humphreys to Michael Gibbons
- $85K from the Humphreys to Brad Lager

Who gets the millionth dollar of Humphreys money since we entered the era of Big Money in Missouri Politics? My bet is on Kinder.

Throwing good money after bad.

ArchPundit on October 13th, 2008

Awesome campaigning Kenny.

Missouri Governor — Few Toe-Holds Remain for Republican Hulshof As He Tries to Keep Statehouse for GOP: In an election for Governor of Missouri today, 10/13/08, to replace retiring one-term Republican Matt Blunt, Democrat Jay Nixon soundly defeats Republican Kenny Hulshof, 56% to 34%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KMOX-radio in St. Louis and KCTV-TV in Kansas City. Three weeks ago, Nixon led by 17 points. Today he leads by 22. Nixon is above 50% among men, women, young, old, white, black, Democrats, Independents, Moderates, Liberals, the more educated and the less educated, the lower-income and the higher-income, in greater St. Louis and in greater Kansas City. Hulshof leads among Republicans, Conservatives and Pro-Life voters.

ArchPundit on October 13th, 2008

Ouch.

In Missouri, John McCain’s Lead Among White Voters Has Evaporated: In an election for President of the United States in battleground Missouri today, 10/13/08, three weeks until votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama has momentum and a meaningful advantage in SurveyUSA’s latest tracking poll, conducted for KMOX radio in St Louis and KCTV-TV in Kansas City. The contest in Missouri has swung 10-points to Obama since SurveyUSA’s last track point, 3 weeks ago. Then, McCain led by 2. Today, Obama leads, 51% to 43%. Among white voters, McCain had led by 11. Today, tied. There is movement among men, where McCain had led, now trails; among women, where McCain had been tied, now trails; among higher-income voters, where McCain had led, now trails; and among Independents, where McCain had led, now trails. In greater St. Louis, Obama had led by 5, now by 22. In greater Kansas City, Obama had led by 16, now by 31. George W. Bush carried Missouri by 7 points in 2004, and by 3.5 points in 2000. The state has 11 electoral votes, which are critical to any Republican who seeks the White House.

ArchPundit on October 11th, 2008

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ArchPundit on October 11th, 2008

In a historically bad Republican year, Blaine Luetkemeyer is a historically bad candidate:

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee released a Global Strategy Group poll conducted October 5-7 of 400 likely voters with a 4.9 percent margin of error showing that Judy Baker leads Blaine Luetkemeyer 40-36 percent in an initial head-to-head matchup.

They might as well have nominated Brock–he was at least entertaining.